Wagon time forecast at the station
Forecast of the wagon time at the stations of the beginning and end of the journey. This time consists of the unloading time of the current travel, the idle time at the station and the loading time for the next travel.
Loading and unloading times can be described by operations on wagons, which will increase the accuracy of the model when using live operation data.
The sample is divided into groups according to the average time at the stations. The more time a wagon spends on average at the station, the less accurate the model. This is due to the fact that it is most difficult to predict the demurrage of a wagon at the station.
In total, for 96% of the stations, not only the average, but also the maximum error does not exceed 50%.